Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Greenlee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Kalscheur * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Oturu * | 34 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Alihan Demir * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Payton Willis * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Carr * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tre' Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Omersa | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kithier | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 32 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Bingham * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Malik Hall | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Julius Marble | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter