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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Durham 23 1-5 0-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Joey Brunk 20 4-7 0-0 1-4 10 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
De'Ron Davis 17 2-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 1 0 6 5 -
Jerome Hunter 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Justin Smith * 30 3-7 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 23 3-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 3 2 7 5 -
Devonte Green * 22 6-13 3-7 3-3 3 2 1 0 1 18 10 -
Rob Phinisee 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
Damezi Anderson 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Armaan Franklin 12 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -6 -
Race Thompson 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 2 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Cowan 34 4-13 1-6 4-5 6 6 1 0 0 13 13 -
Darryl Morsell 29 4-8 1-2 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
Aaron Wiggins 28 4-10 1-5 4-4 8 2 0 0 1 13 12 -
Joshua Tomaic 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eric Ayala 21 2-6 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
Jalen Smith 17 6-10 2-3 5-7 8 0 0 1 1 19 17 -
Serrel Smith 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -3 -
Chol Marial 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Ricky Lindo 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Donta Scott * 18 3-7 1-5 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 9 4 -
Reese Mona 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Hakim Hart 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter