Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 34 | 8-20 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Griffin | 25 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| A. Feliz | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Jones | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Nichols | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Hamlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Griffith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Underwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Oladimeji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Loyer | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 25 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Bingham * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 18 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Malik Hall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Braden Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julius Marble | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter