Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +32 (106-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Brockington | 30 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| M. Jones | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Wheeler | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Harrar | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Stevens | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Watkins | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| T. Buttrick | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Dread * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Lundy | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Jones | 17 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. McCloskey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Washington * | 30 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Luther Muhammad * | 26 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kaleb Wesson * | 25 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Kyle Young * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| CJ Walker * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Andre Wesson | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Carton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E.J. Liddell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Justin Ahrens | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Gaffney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danny Hummer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter