Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -4 (90-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 38 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 37 | 10-19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 36 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 25 | 9-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| L. Sanders | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 40 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 37 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Cambage | 35 | 10-22 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 29 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Young | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jackie Young | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter