Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +2 (97-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 31 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| L. Cambage | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Young | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JiSu Park | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Swords | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne | 34 | 10-22 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| L. Sanders | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 30 | 12-18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 27 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter