Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +5.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -4 (75-79). Ratings: 2019 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 25 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 25 | 10-20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shao Ting | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jillian Alleyne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Bell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Swords * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tamera Young | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 17 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ji-Su Park | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Harden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter