Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 31 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 30 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 26 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| G. Davis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Alix | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Monique Billings | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gülich | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| H. Peters | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter