Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -3 (84-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner * | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Briann January * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| E. Carson * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Yvonne Turner * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 21 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Turner | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Carter | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Peterson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Hof | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Howard * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Langhorne * | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Muldrow | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. Caldwell | 15 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Hudson | 13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Z. Rice | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Miller | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Paris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter