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Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +5.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -3 (84-87). Ratings: 2019 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brittney Griner * 21 7-11 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 1 1 15 11 -
Briann January * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
DeWanna Bonner * 18 5-9 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 1 2 15 9 -
E. Carson * 17 2-5 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 7 7 -
Yvonne Turner * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
Alanna Smith 21 4-8 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 11 10 -
Brianna Turner 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
Sophie Cunningham 16 2-5 2-5 3-4 1 1 1 1 0 9 8 -
Stephanie Talbot 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
A. Carter 13 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 3 1 0 2 5 5 -
A. Peterson 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Emese Hof 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Leilani Mitchell 7 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 6 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordin Canada * 24 4-9 1-1 4-4 2 5 3 0 2 13 12 -
Natasha Howard * 22 6-12 0-3 3-3 3 1 2 1 1 15 9 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis * 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 2 3 3 -
A. Howard * 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
Crystal Langhorne * 15 3-8 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
T. Muldrow 20 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
Mercedes Russell 18 6-8 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 1 15 13 -
R. Caldwell 15 4-7 3-5 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 11 7 -
P. Hudson 13 3-7 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 2 -
Z. Rice 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
M. Miller 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Paris 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter