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2019-05-14

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - βœ“
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 βœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (92-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amanda Zahui B 34 5-12 1-6 9-10 8 4 1 0 4 20 17 -
Kia Nurse 33 2-7 2-5 9-10 2 4 1 0 1 15 14 -
T. Bias 22 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
A. Durr 22 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
A. Warley-Talbert 17 4-5 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 12 13 -
B. Boyd-Jones 15 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
Rebecca Allen 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Wright 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
Reshanda Gray 11 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
Han Xu 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Tina Charles 7 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
B. Cuevas-Moore 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 1 6 -
M. Huff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Faris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brittney Sykes 23 4-7 2-4 0-2 3 1 2 2 0 10 11 -
GΓΌlich 20 2-7 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
Blake Dietrick 20 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 5 -
L. Kizer 18 5-10 2-4 1-1 2 4 1 0 0 13 10 -
A. Bentley 18 2-11 1-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 5 -3 -
Nia Coffey 17 6-11 2-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 18 9 -
R. Montgomery 17 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
I. McGee-Stafford 15 2-6 0-1 3-5 6 2 1 0 2 7 8 -
Monique Billings 14 2-4 0-0 5-8 5 1 2 0 1 9 12 -
M. Cazorla 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 3 5 -
Tiffany Hayes 13 5-7 0-2 6-6 3 2 2 0 2 16 14 -
J. Breland 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter