Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (82-75). Ratings: 2019 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Wiese * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Jones * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 21 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rachel Hollivay * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ashley Walker | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 17 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Gerald Green | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Loryn Goodwin | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Briann January * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alanna Smith | 25 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Carter | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Hof | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Peterson | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter