Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 27 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Wiese | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Walker | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 21 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 17 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| G. Green | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Goodwin | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Parker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 25 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Talbot | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. January | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Carter | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Hof | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Peterson | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter