Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +25 (116-91). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 33 | 6-21 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -6 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 30 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 17 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brad Wanamaker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| George Hill | 21 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tony Snell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter