Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | West Virginia Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Frayer * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Damari Milstead * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Michael Finke * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Alessandro Lever * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey Drechsel | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Matt Jackson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tim Finke | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Roberts Blumbergs | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmitt Matthews * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine Haley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Jordan McCabe * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Derek Culver * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Lamont West * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Chase Harler | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Knapper | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Logan Routt | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Gordon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter