Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crutcher * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Davis * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Mikesell * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Cunningham * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| O. Toppin * | 28 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T. Landers | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Cohill | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Schwartz * | 38 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Wright IV * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| T. Bey * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| E. Battey * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Gatling * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Kountz | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Siewert | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Strating | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter