Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +20 (70-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Coffey * | 39 | 8-24 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gabe Kalscheur * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Oturu * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarvis Omersa | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Washington | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brock Stull | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brady Rudrud | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Henry * | 34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nick Ward | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter