Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miye Oni * | 40 | 2-16 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Alex Copeland * | 37 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Bruner * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Blake Reynolds * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Phills * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Azar Swain | 27 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Paul Atkinson | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Austin Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont Waters * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 25 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darius Days | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter