Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hanley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Pittman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Hodgson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Brown * | 38 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Childs * | 34 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Dwayne Lautier-Ogunleye * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Luqman Lundy * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luuk van Bree * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nate Kennell | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Koch Bar | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Ja'Shon Henry | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ari Boya | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Armon Brummett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hoiberg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 39 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 39 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 38 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nick Ward | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Conner George | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter