Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King McClure * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Makai Mason * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jared Butler * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Mark Vital * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Mario Kegler * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Freddie Gillespie | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Devonte Bandoo | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Matthew Mayer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Flo Thamba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Norvell Jr. * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Josh Perkins * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Clarke * | 36 | 15-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 35 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 35 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Killian Tillie | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Geno Crandall | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter