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2019-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.1% 77.9% -
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McClure * 36 5-9 1-3 4-5 7 1 1 1 2 15 14 -
M. Mason * 36 5-16 2-7 5-5 1 5 0 0 0 17 7 -
J. Butler * 32 4-13 1-8 2-4 3 1 1 0 2 11 1 -
M. Vital * 29 7-9 0-0 3-4 8 0 2 0 0 17 18 -
M. Kegler * 29 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 3 0 1 1 3 3 -
F. Gillespie 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
D. Bandoo 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
M. Mayer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
F. Thamba 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Norvell Jr. * 38 3-9 1-6 2-2 7 5 0 0 2 9 10 -
J. Perkins * 36 3-8 1-5 4-8 1 6 1 0 2 11 9 -
B. Clarke * 36 15-18 0-0 6-8 8 3 2 5 1 36 35 -
C. Kispert * 35 6-8 4-6 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 16 16 -
R. Hachimura * 23 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
K. Tillie 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
G. Crandall 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 3 4 -
J. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter