Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 40 | 12-18 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 20 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 39 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Collin Smith * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chad Brown | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Frank Bertz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 40 | 12-24 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter