Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -19 (64-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brion Whitley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 28 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Darnell Cowart * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 33 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Howard * | 33 | 9-27 | 4-14 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 1 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Anim * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. John * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Bailey | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Morrow | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Chartouny | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Marotta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Heldt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter