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2019-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dunbar 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
B. Brown * 39 8-12 4-7 4-5 2 0 3 0 2 24 15 -
J. Harper * 39 7-18 1-6 11-11 4 5 3 2 4 26 18 -
A. McLemore * 30 4-10 0-2 0-1 5 0 2 2 0 8 7 -
H. Spencer * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
M. Dunbar * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
S. Doughty 33 1-4 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
D. Purifoy 32 2-8 2-6 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
A. Wiley 14 3-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
J. McCormick 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Travis * 44 4-5 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
A. Hagans * 38 4-8 1-4 1-1 5 3 1 0 7 10 4 -
K. Johnson * 38 5-13 0-2 4-6 10 3 1 1 0 14 16 -
T. Herro * 36 3-11 1-5 0-0 3 6 1 1 2 7 5 -
EJ Montgomery * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
PJ Washington 37 10-18 2-4 6-11 13 0 2 2 5 28 22 -
I. Quickley 19 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -
J. Baker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Richards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter