Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -10 (51-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Moretti * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Mooney * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Jarrett Culver * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Norense Odiase * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Tariq Owens * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Brandone Francis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kyler Edwards | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Deshawn Corprew | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nick Ward | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter