Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -12 (60-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Graves * | 38 | 10-18 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Patton * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Bryce Fowler * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa * | 32 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Ethan Esposito * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chibueze Jacobs | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| James Bridges | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Osi Nwachukwu | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hines * | 38 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Shelton * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Bernie Andre * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Brooks DeBisschop * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Nik Mains | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Davon Bolton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ted McCree | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter