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2019-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -19 (64-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Calloway * 39 6-12 5-10 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 17 14 -
C. Oluyitan * 37 7-13 1-2 3-4 4 3 1 0 3 18 10 -
D. Marin * 33 4-7 1-3 6-6 4 2 2 0 0 15 16 -
H. Butler * 20 2-6 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 0 3 7 3 -
A. Adams * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 3 0 8 -
B. Better 21 5-11 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 14 4 -
I. Madunic 17 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
D. Aphkhazava 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Fausett 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Radebaugh * 38 3-10 1-7 0-1 7 3 2 1 5 7 5 -
J. Davis * 37 6-12 1-4 2-2 6 5 1 2 2 15 15 -
B. Hume * 32 5-9 3-7 2-2 4 0 2 2 2 15 12 -
S. Masten * 18 1-2 1-1 2-6 3 1 2 0 1 5 8 -
K. Jockuch * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Sanders 24 3-8 2-5 3-6 3 2 0 3 4 11 7 -
T. Harris 19 1-6 1-6 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
K. Edwards 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
M. Drgon 10 0-2 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter