Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +13 (99-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brachen Hazen | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 16 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Mattos | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 27 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Justin Turner * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 23 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Antwon Lillard | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Laster | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marlon Sierra | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter