Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +2 (76-74). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cunningham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Jason Burnell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 42 | - |
| Marlon Hunter * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Ty Hudson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Detrick Mostella | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jacara Cross | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| De'Torrion Ware | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 37 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Darnell Cowart * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter