Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hemsley * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Watson * | 35 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Arop | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Schakel | 22 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Narain | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Seiko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Merrill * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| A. Porter * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Queta * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Q. Taylor * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Miller * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Brito | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Bean | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Brown Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter