Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -9 (56-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 38 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Arop | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Schakel | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Narain | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Seiko | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Zouzoua | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Co. Martin * | 40 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Porter * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ca. Martin * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Henson * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 38 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter