Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drue Drinnon | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Carlton Bragg | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tavian Percy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Mathis * | 37 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Vance Jackson * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Makuach Maluach * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dane Kuiper * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Corey Manigault | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Keith McGee | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Pinchuk | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abel Porter * | 37 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Brock Miller * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Quinn Taylor * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Diogo Brito | 28 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Justin Bean | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 21 | - |
| D. Brown Jr. | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter