Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robotham * | 39 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kris Clyburn * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Amauri Hardy * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Joel Ntambwe * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| C. Diong * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Nick Blair | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Hamilton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trey Woodbury | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 37 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 11-14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Schakel | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Arop | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Narain | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Seiko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter