Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Paige * | 39 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 35 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kris Martin * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Logan Ryan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justinian Jessup * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Dickinson * | 32 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Alston * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| David Wacker * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Zach Haney * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Alex Hobbs | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| RJ Williams | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Pat Dembley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malek Harwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter