Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (25.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -22 (55-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Golder * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Freeman * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Deion Lavender * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| John Kiser * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn | 34 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Sackey | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Langston Stalling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Cooper Neese * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Allante Holston | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyeshon Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Huenermann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter