Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Friend * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| K. Nicholas * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| M. Enger * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Menke * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. Bade | 19 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. Rohn | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Bady | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. da Silva Sa | 8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Malvar * | 38 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Bailey * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| K. Rasheed * | 32 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| K. Paplow * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Schenck * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Lehew | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Gary | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Carroll | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter