Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Willard | 32 | 11-20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| B. Calip | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Franklin | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Hipp | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Manning | 17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| E. Gartner | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Wilson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bachrodt | 29 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Rhine | 24 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Hittner | 23 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| N. Miller | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Dean | 22 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Petersen | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Burich | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| B. Rose | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Jonas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Fuller | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Wooldridge | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter