Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (84-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Turner | 34 | 2-4 | -2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| J. Lyon | 32 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | |||
| S. Donovan | 32 | 6-16 | -1 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 8 | |
| C. Gould | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | ||
| K. Speight | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | ||
| A. Welling | 21 | 1-4 | - | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||
| K. Roland | 12 | - | - | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |||
| C. Welch | 6 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| K. Fitzgerald | 5 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 0 | |||||
| A. Davidson | 2 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cannatelli | 32 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | |
| A. Bradshaw | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | |
| J. Scaife | 26 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 15 | |
| S. Fowler | 25 | 4-12 | -3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | |
| T. Phillips | 24 | 3-4 | - | - | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | ||
| M. Dennis | 21 | 1-3 | -1 | - | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| K. Whitehead | 17 | -1 | - | - | 4 | 2 | 5 | ||||
| B. Ward | 10 | 3-4 | - | -1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| J. Chandler | 9 | 2-4 | -1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | ||
| J. Giacone | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | - | 1 | 5 | 0 | ||||
| C. Szabo | 1 | -1 | -1 | - | -1 | ||||||
| A. Davidson | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | |||||
| E. Skeens | 1 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 0 |
* = starter