Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gosnell | 39 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Polacek | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Stanley | 35 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| B. Plummer | 35 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Story | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Wilson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Calder | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moore | 40 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. DeGray | 39 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Lasker | 39 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. DeGray | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Collier | 39 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| T. Battle | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Chastain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter