Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -2 (45-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story | 39 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Stanley | 37 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| A. Polacek | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Wilson | 25 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Plummer | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Gosnell | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Calder | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Mathews | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hampton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. McDonald | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lewis | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K.K. Williams | 35 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Murphy | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| W. Wright | 27 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Henry | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Ervin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Miller-McCray | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| V. Middlebrooks | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter