Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +23 (80-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Thompson * | 39 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Paul Jorgensen * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sean McDermott * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Fowler * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Tucker | 27 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Christian David | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Golden | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Campbell Donovan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Diallo * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| M. White * | 35 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| D. Duke * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| N. Watson * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Reeves * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Jackson | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Young | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Ashton-Langford | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Edwards | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jimmy Nichols | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Monroe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Fonts | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter