Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignas Brazdeikis * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Poole * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Goins * | 40 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 39 | 8-15 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Nick Ward | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter