Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Happ * | 33 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Brad Davison * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D'Mitrik Trice * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Khalil Iverson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nate Reuvers * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kobe King | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Aleem Ford | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brevin Pritzl | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas IV | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Walt McGrory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ballard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McQuaid * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 28 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Ward | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter