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2019-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Taylor 19 1-8 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
M. Kopp * 39 5-12 1-5 0-0 7 2 0 2 3 11 7 -
D. Pardon * 39 6-12 1-2 4-4 5 1 1 0 0 17 12 -
A.J. Turner * 39 7-17 3-9 3-4 4 5 0 0 2 20 10 -
A. Gaines * 36 2-8 0-3 1-2 9 2 5 1 0 5 14 -
A. Falzon 24 3-10 3-10 2-3 6 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
R. Greer 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
P. Nance 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Benson 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 41 7-15 3-5 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 21 11 -
A. Jordan * 35 2-6 1-2 1-2 8 2 1 0 0 6 11 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 32 12-15 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 26 18 -
A. Dosunmu * 32 3-10 1-4 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 8 2 -
D. Williams * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 0 4 -
A. Feliz 26 4-9 0-0 3-6 10 6 1 0 1 11 18 -
K. Nichols 15 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. De La Rosa 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Griffin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Underwood 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Jones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter