Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights -24 (55-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyvon Davenport * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kareem Brewton * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Raynere Thornton * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Parks * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Maurice | 23 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Antwann Jones | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 18 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Alex Lomax | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Victor Enoh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evin Olds | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 35 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Collin Smith * | 18 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Frank Bertz | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chad Brown | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ceasar DeJesus | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Anders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter