🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: UCF Knights -24 (55-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Davenport * 34 7-13 2-5 0-2 11 1 3 1 1 16 18 -
J. Martin * 33 1-6 0-2 11-12 3 4 2 0 2 13 14 -
K. Brewton Jr. * 24 2-7 0-2 2-3 7 4 2 0 1 6 11 -
R. Thornton * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
M. Parks Jr. * 14 1-3 0-2 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
I. Maurice 23 8-11 3-6 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 21 15 -
A. Jones 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
T. Harris 18 1-8 1-6 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
A. Lomax 13 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 4 6 -
V. Enoh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Olds 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Taylor * 35 3-8 0-2 3-6 3 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
A. Dawkins * 35 1-10 1-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 7 0 -
T. Fall * 25 5-6 0-0 2-6 10 0 0 4 1 12 19 -
T. Allen * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Smith * 18 4-11 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 9 -2 -
D. Griffin 26 3-4 3-4 0-0 5 2 3 1 1 9 15 -
F. Bertz 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
C. Brown 10 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 3 3 2 -
C. DeJesus 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
R. Anders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter