Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Polite | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 26 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| David Nichols | 16 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Cam Reddish * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jack White | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter