Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sutton * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Nwora * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| K. Fore * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V.J. King | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Perry | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. McMahon | 18 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - |
| S. Enoch | 13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby White * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nassir Little | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter