Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Lewis * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Galin Smith * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Riley Norris * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| John Petty | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dazon Ingram | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Alex Reese | 21 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tevin Mack | 17 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| PJ Washington * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Ashton Hagans * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Keldon Johnson * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| EJ Montgomery * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Reid Travis | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley | 18 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Baker | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nick Richards | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jonny David | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter