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Florida Gators 76
@
LSU Tigers 73
2019-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✗
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - ✗
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% - ✓

Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard * 37 7-14 3-7 3-4 4 6 0 0 0 20 16 -
J. Hudson * 37 3-9 2-7 5-6 3 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
K. Johnson * 35 7-11 2-5 0-5 10 3 4 0 2 16 20 -
K. Allen * 34 3-8 1-5 5-5 5 2 2 0 4 12 9 -
K. Hayes * 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 11 11 -
D. Bassett 14 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Locke 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Okauru 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
I. Stokes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Reese 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Reid * 36 11-20 3-4 1-2 14 1 1 0 1 26 21 -
S. Mays * 33 3-13 0-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 6 -3 -
T. Waters * 33 2-6 1-3 4-4 4 7 2 0 4 9 12 -
M. Taylor * 24 3-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 0 3 7 3 -
K. Bigby-Williams * 20 4-9 0-0 0-2 11 3 0 0 1 8 12 -
J. Smart 31 5-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 2 13 10 -
E. Williams 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Days 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter